Though there are suspected gas reserves in Qana, it is not yet certain whether they are commercially viable to boost Lebanon’s ailing economy. Nevertheless, the maritime deal this week opens the door for an international consortium to explore — and potentially exploit the field.Meanwhile, the possibility of an IMF deal remains on top of the diplomatic agenda in Beirut, although it can seem that the government is scarcely paying attention to it as the months grind on with little progress since April’s staff-level agreement in April.
“The IMF deal, and the prior actions for the IMF deal, are absolutely essential to address the economic crisis in Lebanon,” he said. “And that’s exactly what I … discussed when I had my meeting with Prime Minister Mikati, and the president and the speaker.”Among the prerequisites for the deal are a capital control law, an updated banking secrecy law, a 2022 budget, financial system reorganization, a unified exchange rate, and debt restructuring, among other small and large measures.Cowell’s fellow ambassadors from the EU member states, plus Norway and Switzerland, recently penned an op-ed in L’Orient Today calling the IMF deal “the only realistic opportunity available today to get Lebanon out of the danger zone.” It’s a sentiment that Cowell echoed on Wednesday.
But what it would do is it would send a really important message that Lebanon has reached a turning point, that there’s a new direction.”Escaping Lebanon’s economic crisisCowell seems to view Lebanon’s economic crisis as internal in origin, and capable of resolution internally. It is a view he shares with his EU colleagues in the country, but which is contested by some voices in Lebanon that view the country as a victim of geopolitical forces larger than itself.Lebanon is situated “in a complicated neighborhood,” Cowell said. “And that’s undoubtedly true. [But] I don’t think it’s necessarily any more complicated than it was in the late 90s to 2000s, or in the 60s … when Lebanon was flourishing. And so Lebanon has managed to do well at certain points in time, even despite the complicated neighborhood,” he added.
”On Lebanon’s trade potential, Cowell expressed hope that bilateral trade between Lebanon and the UK could grow.For his part, Hezbollah Secretary-General Hassan Nasrallah has repeatedly advocated for deemphasizing trade relations with the West, which he portrays as coming with strings attached. His party and businesses and individuals allegedly associated with it are under a suite of financial sanctions by many western states — the UK included.
Instead, Nasrallah has said Lebanon’s trading future could lie with other countries, including China, Russia and Iran.Asked about his view, Cowell said that Lebanese businesses are free to do business “with whomever they want, within the framework of sanctions.
” The UK, along with the United States and European states, maintains sanctions that pertain to different Chinese, Iranian and Russian individuals or entities.It’s “up to Lebanese businesses to choose where they want to trade. But [what] I would say is that, frankly, you have far more opportunities trading with Western countries, with Europe, with G7 countries, with America.”“Regardless of whether that’s [due to] sanctions or not, I think Lebanon’s opportunities lie to the west, in Europe, America.”
Source:today.lorientlejour.com/